market climbs a wall of worry, bounces off glass ceiling
Posted by ecoshift on July 21, 2007
The Dow broke 14k this week, yet another new record.
WTF. The dollar is in decline, prices on food, fuel and commodities are going up, the housing market isn’t due to rebound till at least 2009 and the willingness of foreign central banks to purchase US debt is weakening.
The Dow also fell over 150 points from peak to trough twice prompting an increase in sightings of the rumored Plunge Protection Team in the comments sections of blogs that follow such things.
It appears that most local folks don’t care much about the market unless they have money invested. While I’m sympathetic with this point of view there are a number of local issues impacted by national and global trends — in particular county land use policy and low income housing. Bucking these trends will be hard, we might want to plan ahead.
For those of you who might be interested in points of view on the current record setting stock market and the underlying economy itself that aren’t directly funded by it’s beneficiaries or housing market info that isn’t specifically aimed at rebuilding lost confidence and minimizing downsides here are a couple of blogs worth reviewing. Don’t forget to read the comments sections… very informative. If you want the consensus view, just watch TV.
Roubini is an economist and doesn’t slow down to explain his terms. You may find it useful to use Firefox so you can select unfamiliar terms, right click and google them on the spot.
The Calculated Risk blog is definitely irreverent… even funny. It’s focuses on the mortgage market with many comments from traders and industry pros that range far beyond straight up mortgage/investment instrument analyses. If you don’t want to start with the nerdly details you might try this link first.
Check it out…